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DTN Midday Grain Comments 03/26 12:32
Soybean Futures Higher at Midday Thursday; Corn Lower; Wheat Flat-Higher
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
3 to 4 cents higher; wheat futures are flat to 4 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
3 to 4 cents higher; wheat futures are flat to 4 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is weaker at midday with the S&P 50 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 18 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
firmer with crude up 3.70 and natural gas .05 higher. Livestock trade is mostly
lower. Precious metals are weaker with gold off 101.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday with action consolidating at
the top of the range as we head toward the report next week along with further
optimism with the E15 waivers Wednesday. Ethanol margins should remain solid
with the summer E15 along with coming Easter travel. Weekly export sales were
solid at 1.218 million metric tons (mmt) of old crop, and 135,000 metric tons
of new. Basis likely continues to hold the recent range. New-crop price ratios
continue to edge toward soybeans through midweek. On the May chart support is
the 20-day at 4.57 with recent high at 4.76.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures were 3 to 4 cents higher at midday with action just below
nearby resistance ahead of the biofuels targets expected to be released Friday
with oil leading the product complex. Meal is flat to 1.00 higher and oil is 85
to 95 points higher. South America progress should continue to push more
bushels onto the world stage as Brazil continues to move along harvest wise and
Argentina sees little change. Basis should stay flat in the short term with
nearby availability remaining good for end users. Weekly export sales improved
at 668,900 metric tons old crop; 27,000 mt of new; 507,600 mt of meal; and 800
of oil. On the May contract, chart resistance is $11.79, where we find the
20-day moving average, with the Lower Bollinger Band at $11.32 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 4 cents higher with KC action leading as trade
works to consolidate the Wednesday rebound from nearby support. Weather for the
Plains looks to stay warm with the second week of the forecast looking wetter
especially for the eastern growing areas. Matif wheat is flat Thursday despite
the weaker euro. Weekly export sales were solid at 397,200 metric tons old crop
and 205,800 of new. On the KC May chart, support is the 20-day moving average
at $6.06 with resistance the fresh high at $6.47 1/2.
**
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**
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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